Web Images Videos Maps News Shopping Gmail more »
Sign in
Scholar Home  
  Advanced Scholar Search
Scholar Preferences
Scholar Results 1 - 10 of about 101 related to Fischhoff: Hindsight≠ foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (0.10 sec) 

Hindsight≠ foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty

- nifc.gov [PDF]  - Free from Publisher
B Fischhoff - Quality and Safety in Health Care, 2003 - qshc.bmj.com
One major difference between historical and nonhistorical judgment is that the
historical judge typically knows how things turned out. In Experiment 1, receipt
of such outcome knowledge was found to increase the postdicted likelihood ...
Cited by 1133 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 15 versions

Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known

- psycnet.org [PDF] 
SA Hawkins, R Hastie - Psychological Bulletin, 1990 - psycnet.apa.org
The hindsight bias is the tendency for people with outcome knowledge to believe
falsely that they would have predicted the reported outcome of an event. This
article reviews empirical research relevant to hindsight phenomena. The ...
Cited by 402 - Related articles - All 5 versions

I knew it would happen: Remembered probabilities of once-future things


B Fischhoff, R Beyth - Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 1975 - doi.apa.org
Our Apologies! The following features are not available with your current
Browser configuration. - alerts user that their session ...
Cited by 324 - Related articles - All 3 versions

[CITATION] SELECTION 31 Hindsight=£ Foresight: The Effect of Outcome Knowledge on Judgment …


B FISCHHOFF - Metacognition: Core Readings, 1992 - Allyn & Bacon
Related articles

The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis


JJJ Christensen-Szalanski, CF Willham - Organizational Behavior and Human Decision …, 1991 - doi.apa.org
Our Apologies! The following features are not available with your current
Browser configuration. - alerts user that their session ...
Cited by 192 - Related articles - All 3 versions

Perceived informativeness of facts

- psycnet.org [PDF] 
B Fischhoff - Journal of Experimental Psychology, 1977 - psycnet.apa.org
There are many tasks in which people are called on to disregard information that
they have already processed. Dealing with inadmissible evidence in a courtroom
setting, second-guessing the past, and responding to experimental ...
Cited by 263 - Related articles - All 4 versions

The knew-it-all-along effect

- psycnet.org [PDF] 
G Wood - Journal of Experimental Psychology, 1978 - psycnet.apa.org
Individuals can be asked to make preoutcome judgments about future events (eg, a
scheduled athletic contest) or past events of which they are ignorant (eg,
whether Benjamin Franklin was fired from his office as Postmaster General ...
Cited by 132 - Related articles - All 3 versions

On the psychology of experimental surprises

- psycnet.org [PDF] 
P Slovic, B Fischhoff - Journal of experimental psychology, 1977 - psycnet.apa.org
In an era of reduced public support and increased public scrutiny of scientific
re- search, psychologists are under increasing pressure to make certain that
their work is viewed as both important and informative. The lay test of ...
Cited by 200 - Related articles - All 5 versions

For those condemned to live in the future

- bmj.com [PDF] 
JM Flach - British Medical Journal, 2003 - qshc.bmj.com
One major difference between historical and nonhistorical judgment is that the
historical judge typically knows how things turned out. In Experiment 1, receipt
of such outcome knowledge was found to increase the postdicted likelihood ...
Cited by 5 - Related articles - All 5 versions

Hindsight bias among physicians weighing the likelihood of diagnoses


HR Arkes, RL Wortmann, PD Saville, AR … - Journal of Applied Psychology, 1981 - psycnet.apa.org
Page 1. Journal of Applied Psychology 1981, Vol. 66, No. 2, 252-254 Copyright 1981
by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 0021-9010/81 /6602-0252J00.75 ...
Cited by 152 - Related articles - All 5 versions


Result Page: 

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Next


 


Go to Google Home - About Google - About Google Scholar

©2009 Google