The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism PD Windschitl, AR Smith, JP Rose, Z Krizan Organizational behavior and human decision processes 111 (1), 33-47, 2010 | 90 | 2010 |
Are people excessive or judicious in their egocentrism? A modeling approach to understanding bias and accuracy in people's optimism. PD Windschitl, JP Rose, MT Stalkfleet, AR Smith Journal of personality and social psychology 95 (2), 253, 2008 | 84 | 2008 |
Knowledge matters: Anchoring effects are moderated by knowledge level AR Smith, PD Windschitl, K Bruchmann European Journal of Social Psychology 43 (1), 97-108, 2013 | 80 | 2013 |
Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment PD Windschitl, AM Scherer, AR Smith, JP Rose Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 120 (1), 73-86, 2013 | 62 | 2013 |
The effect of target group size on risk judgments and comparative optimism: the more, the riskier. PC Price, AR Smith, HC Lench Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 90 (3), 382, 2006 | 62 | 2006 |
The relationship between anxiety and risk taking is moderated by ambiguity AR Smith, EE Ebert, JJ Broman-Fulks Personality and Individual Differences 95, 40-44, 2016 | 47 | 2016 |
Optimism following a tornado disaster J Suls, JP Rose, PD Windschitl, AR Smith Personality and social psychology bulletin 39 (5), 691-702, 2013 | 44 | 2013 |
Hope to be right: Biased information seeking following arbitrary and informed predictions AM Scherer, PD Windschitl, AR Smith Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 49 (1), 106-112, 2013 | 38 | 2013 |
Biased calculations: Numeric anchors influence answers to math equations AR Smith, PD Windschitl Judgment and Decision Making 6 (2), 139-146, 2011 | 38 | 2011 |
Sample size bias in the estimation of means AR Smith, PC Price Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 17, 499-503, 2010 | 34 | 2010 |
Resisting anchoring effects: The roles of metric and mapping knowledge AR Smith, PD Windschitl Memory & cognition 43, 1071-1084, 2015 | 27 | 2015 |
Sample size bias in judgments of perceptual averages. PC Price, NM Kimura, AR Smith, LD Marshall Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 40 (5), 1321, 2014 | 18 | 2014 |
Behaving optimistically: How the (Un) desirability of an outcome can bias people's preparations for it JOR Stuart, PD Windschitl, AR Smith, AM Scherer Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 30 (1), 54-69, 2017 | 17 | 2017 |
Hoping for more: The influence of outcome desirability on information seeking and predictions about relative quantities AM Scherer, PD Windschitl, J O’Rourke, AR Smith Cognition 125 (1), 113-117, 2012 | 13 | 2012 |
Sources of bias in peoples’ social-comparative estimates of food consumption. AM Scherer, K Bruchmann, PD Windschitl, JP Rose, AR Smith, ... Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 22 (2), 173, 2016 | 7 | 2016 |
Debiasing egocentrism and optimism biases in repeated competitions JP Rose, PD Windschitl, AR Smith Judgment and Decision Making 7 (6), 761-767, 2012 | 7 | 2012 |
Do people prescribe optimism, overoptimism, or neither? JE Miller, I Park, AR Smith, PD Windschitl Psychological Science 32 (10), 1605-1616, 2021 | 6 | 2021 |
Context dependency in risky decision making: Is there a description-experience gap? I Park, PD Windschitl, AR Smith, S Rule, AM Scherer, JO Stuart Plos one 16 (2), e0245969, 2021 | 6 | 2021 |
Risk it? Direct and collateral impacts of peers' verbal expressions about hazard likelihoods PD Windschitl, AR Smith, AM Scherer, J Suls Thinking & Reasoning 23 (3), 259-291, 2017 | 6 | 2017 |
People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments. I Park, PD Windschitl, JE Miller, AR Smith, JOR Stuart, M Biangmano Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 152 (1), 45, 2023 | 5 | 2023 |