Overconfidence in interval estimates.

JB Soll, J Klayman - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, …, 2004 - psycnet.apa.org
Abstract 1. Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg," In what year was the first
flight of a hot air balloon?"). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X%
sure that the correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: ...

Overconfidence in interval estimates.

JB Soll, J Klayman - Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, …, 2004 - europepmc.org
Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg," In what year was the first flight of a hot
air balloon?"). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X% sure that the
correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: The correct ...

Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.

JB Soll, J Klayman - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory …, 2004 - ERIC
Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg," In what year was the first flight of a hot
air balloon?"). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X% sure that the
correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: The correct ...

Overconfidence in Interval Estimates

JB Soll, J Klayman - Learning, Memory, 2004 - doi.apa.org
Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg,“In what year was the first flight of a hot
air balloon?”). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X% sure that the
correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: The correct ...

Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.

JB Soll, J Klayman - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, …, 2004 - psycnet.apa.org
Abstract 1. Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg," In what year was the first
flight of a hot air balloon?"). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X%
sure that the correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: ...

Overconfidence in interval estimates.

JB Soll, J Klayman - Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, …, 2004 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg," In what year was the first flight of a hot
air balloon?"). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X% sure that the
correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: The correct ...

Overconfidence in interval estimates

JB Soll, J Klayman - … of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and …, 2004 - Citeseer
Abstract Please do not quote or cite without permission of the authors Overconfidence in
interval estimates 2 Many studies over the last several decades have found that people are
generally overconfident about the accuracy of their knowledge. This generalization has ...

Overconfidence in interval estimates

JB SOLL, J KLAYMAN - Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, …, 2004 - cat.inist.fr
Résumé/Abstract Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg, In what year was the
first flight of a hot air balloon?). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were
X% sure that the correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial ...

Overconfidence in Interval Estimates

JB Soll, J Klayman - doi.apa.org
Judges were asked to make numerical estimates (eg,“In what year was the first flight of a hot
air balloon?”). Judges provided high and low estimates such that they were X% sure that the
correct answer lay between them. They exhibited substantial overconfidence: The correct ...