Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?

A Gelman, G King - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - cambridge.org
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

[PDF][PDF] Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A GELMAN, G KING - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - stat.columbia.edu
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A Gelman, G King - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - econpapers.repec.org
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Votes Are so Predictable?

A Gelman, G King - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - JSTOR
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

[PDF][PDF] Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A GELMAN, G KING - Political Analysis, 1989 - gking.harvard.edu
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Votes are so Predictable?

A Gelman, G King - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - papers.ssrn.com
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the US Presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A Gelman, G King - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - ideas.repec.org
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

[PDF][PDF] Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A GELMAN, G KING - Political Analysis, 1989 - scholar.harvard.edu
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

[PDF][PDF] Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A GELMAN, G KING - British Journal of Political Science, 1993 - stat.columbia.edu
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …

[PDF][PDF] Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?

A GELMAN, G KING - Political Analysis, 1989 - gking.harvard.edu
As most political scientists know, the outcome of the American presidential election can be
predicted within a few percentage points (in the popular vote), based on information …