Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861

CK Folland, NA Rayner, SJ Brown… - Geophysical …, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
… We present the first analysis of global and hemispheric surface warming trends that …
sources of uncertainty. We calculate global and hemispheric annual temperature anomalies by …

Improvements in the GISTEMP uncertainty model

NJL Lenssen, GA Schmidt, JE Hansen… - Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Uncertainties arise from measurement uncertainty, changes in spatial coverage of the station
… These urban biases are corrected for in our global temperature product since the goal is to …

A review of uncertainty in in situ measurements and data sets of sea surface temperature

JJ Kennedy - Reviews of Geophysics, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
uncertainties associated with pervasive systematic errors in SST data sets as an important
uncertainty in the estimation of global temperature … of the measurement uncertainties are …

Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: A new data set from 1850

P Brohan, JJ Kennedy, I Harris… - Journal of …, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
… described in this paper provide measurement and sampling uncertainty estimates for each
grid … with regional and global temperatures than a point SST measurement, because land air …

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

CP Morice, JJ Kennedy, NA Rayner… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
… realizations of the global temperature anomalies with respect to … -surface temperature
measurement uncertainties arising from … , when temperature anomalies are averaged globally

Uncertainty in annual rankings from NOAA's global temperature time series

A Arguez, TR Karl, MF Squires… - Geophysical Research …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
… [1] Annual rankings of global temperature are an important component of climate … of
uncertainty for every yearly value in the global temperature time series, which leads to uncertainty in …

Uncertainties in the global temperature change caused by carbon release from permafrost thawing

EJ Burke, IP Hartley, CD Jones - The Cryosphere, 2012 - tc.copernicus.org
… Estimates of the amount of permafrost carbon release under increased global temperature
have been made by extrapolating site specific observations. For example, on the basis of …

Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1. Measurement and sampling uncertainties

JJ Kennedy, NA Rayner, RO Smith… - Journal of …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
… [5] In the present paper, the estimates of microbias and random measurement uncertainties
are used to estimate the uncertainties of gridded SST fields and on global and regional …

Unrealized global temperature increase: Implications of current uncertainties

SE Schwartz - Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Uncertainty in the rate of decrease of atmospheric CO 2 subsequent to cessation of … evolution
of global temperature. It is the range of consequences of these combined uncertainties that …

Reducing uncertainty in local temperature projections

S Qasmi, A Ribes - Science Advances, 2022 - science.org
uncertainty in local temperature projections. By taking advantage of the tight links between
local and global temperature… if local internal variability or measurement uncertainty is large (ie…