[PDF][PDF] Method for Forecasting General Aviation Activity

FR Wilson, HM Kohn - Transportation Research Record, 1980 - onlinepubs.trb.org
FR Wilson, HM Kohn
Transportation Research Record, 1980onlinepubs.trb.org
This paper describes a study of the method used to develop demand· estimation models for
itinerant and local movements of general aviation aircraft. The study area consisted of seven
airports in the Maritime Provinces of Canada (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, and Prince
Edward Island). Con· fidantlal data on aircraft movements were made available from the
Aviation Statistics Centre for this study. Econometric models were developed for each airport
separately, and one system model was developed for all traffic that flows on the 49 links …
This paper describes a study of the method used to develop demand· estimation models for itinerant and local movements of general aviation aircraft. The study area consisted of seven airports in the Maritime Provinces of Canada (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, and Prince Edward Island). Con· fidantlal data on aircraft movements were made available from the Aviation
Statistics Centre for this study. Econometric models were developed for each airport separately, and one system model was developed for all traffic that flows on the 49 links between the seven airports. The approach used generation· distribution-type models in contrast to the pure generation models attempted by others and found to be only marginally successful. Cross-section demo·
onlinepubs.trb.org